USA Today's latest storm forecast calls for tropical depressions and hurricanes to increase in late July and early August as dry air and dust subside while ocean temperatures continue to rise.
"Especially as La Nina starts to develop, we'll see more tropical systems develop here," AccuWeather senior storm forecaster Alan Reppert said. He said that by early August, there is a greater chance of storms forming.
Over the weekend, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) monitored a low pressure area in the central Atlantic region. According to NHC's latest storm forecast, this system has a 40% chance of developing in the next 7 days.
The latest weather forecast from the US National Hurricane Center warns that the low pressure area is expected to strengthen in the next 1 or 2 days and become a tropical depression in the middle of the week to the weekend when it approaches the tropical region. Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles or southwest Atlantic.
AccuWeather's storm experts said that the latest low pressure area in the Atlantic Ocean that recently moved off the coast of Africa is likely to strengthen into a storm in August.
The low pressure area that can strengthen into a No. 4 storm in the Atlantic Ocean appears about 2 weeks after the storm in the Atlantic Ocean calms down.
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season got off to an "explosive start" when superstorm Beryl formed in early July, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
"August-September of the Atlantic hurricane season is the most active period. We are entering a period where there is the highest likelihood of more storms developing during this entire period" - Tien Dr. Jill Trepanier - weather expert at the Department of Geography and Anthropology, Louisiana State University, USA - warned.
Currently, the central Atlantic has small clusters of thunderstorms that can organize into a system. If the system overcomes the severe conditions, it will move toward "more favorable conditions" to strengthen into a tropical depression and hurricane in August, AccuWeather forecaster Bernie Rayno noted. .
From the beginning of the 2024 hurricane season , hurricane forecasters have predicted a dangerous hurricane season and are still maintaining this assessment. Despite a brief period of calm following Hurricane Beryl, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is still expected to be extremely intense.
Beryl broke the record, becoming the earliest category 5 storm ever recorded in history.
Forecasters from Colorado State University have raised their storm forecast to a total of 12 hurricanes and 25 tropical storms this year in the wake of Superstorm Beryl.
"Hurricane Beryl, a Category 5 tropical storm, is also likely to signal an active hurricane season," the updated storm forecast noted.
In May, NOAA predicted an 85% chance of a stronger-than-normal hurricane season, with 17 to 25 named storms with 8-13 becoming hurricanes.
The intense hurricane season is due to a combination of factors, including warmer-than-normal ocean temperatures in the Atlantic, La Nina forming in the Pacific, and reduced trade winds and wind shear in the Atlantic, according to NOAA.
