USA Today's latest storm forecast says tropical depressions and storms will increase in late July and early August as dry air and dust gradually decrease while ocean temperatures continue to rise.
" Especially as La Nina begins to develop, we will see more developed tropical systems here," said AccuWeather senior hurricane forecaster Alan Reppert. He said that by early August, there is a higher chance of storms forming.
Over the weekend, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) has been monitoring a low pressure area in the central Atlantic. According to the latest NHC hurricane forecast, the system has a 40% chance of developing over the next 7 days.
The latest weather forecast from the US National Hurricane Center warns that the low pressure area is expected to strengthen over the next 1 or 2 days and become a tropical depression over the mid- to late week when it approaches the Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles or southwest Atlantic.
AccuWeather's hurricane experts say the latest low pressure in the Atlantic that recently moved off the coast of Africa is likely to strengthen into a storm in August.
The low pressure area is likely to strengthen into Atlantic storm No. 4 about 2 weeks after the Atlantic storm temporarily calmed down.
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season " begun to explode" when Hurricane Beryl formed in early July, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
"August - September of the Atlantic hurricane season is the most active period. We are entering a period where there is a highest chance of more storms developing throughout the entire period," warned Dr. Jill Trepanier, a weather expert at the Department of Geography and Ethnology at Louisiana State University.
Currently, there are clusters of thunderstorms in the central Atlantic that can form a system. If the system overcomes severe conditions, it will move towards "more favorable conditions" to strengthen into a tropical depression and a storm in August, Bernie Rayno, a weather forecaster at AccuWeather, noted.
Since the start of the 2024 hurricane season, forecasters have predicted a dangerous season and are still maintaining this view. Despite a brief lull after Hurricane Beryl, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is still expected to be extremely intense.
Beryl broke records, jumping to become the earliest Category 5 storm on record.
Colorado State University forecasters have raised their hurricane forecasts to a total of 12 hurricanes and 25 tropical storms this season after Hurricane Beryl.
" Beryl, a Category 5 tropical storm, is also likely to signal a strong season," the updated hurricane forecast notes.
In May, NOAA predicted an 85% chance of a stronger-than-normal hurricane season, with 17 to 25 named storms becoming hurricanes.
The intense hurricane season is a combination of factors, including warmer-than-normal ocean temperatures in the Atlantic, La Nina forming in the Pacific Ocean, and reduced trading winds and Atlantic wind shear, according to NOAA.
