The latest storm and low pressure forecast from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on January 31 said that a new low pressure is forecast to appear near the Philippines in the first days of February 2025.
PAGASA's latest forecast states that a new low pressure near the Philippines is expected to appear south of PAGASA's PAR and TCAD forecast areas in the period from January 31 to February 6.
Forecasters say the depression will continue to move northwest and expand in scale over the week of February 7 to February 13.
During the forecast period, PAGASA weather experts said that the new low pressure near the Philippines is unlikely to strengthen into a storm.
This is expected to be the first low pressure in 2025 to be recorded near the Philippines. If the new depression strengthens into a storm and enters the Philippine PAR forecast area, the storm will be named Auring.
Previously, in the January 27 forecast bulletin, PAGASA stated that during the week of February 3 to February 9, a new low pressure is expected to form in the southeast of the Philippines. The low pressure area appeared in the southeastern area of PAGASA's TCAD and PAR forecast areas.
The low pressure near the Philippines is forecast to move closer to the east of Mindanao and the Visayas. At that time, forecasters said the depression was likely to strengthen into the first storm of 2025 in the week of February 3 to February 9, with a low to moderate chance of strengthening into a storm.