The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration's typhoon forecast says the Philippines will still face one or two more typhoons that could make landfall in December.
This also means that no tropical storms or depressions are expected to form until the end of November, according to Nathaniel Servando, PAGASA's director.
When asked if the storms that will make landfall in December will be as strong as the severe tropical storm Kristine (Tramami) and super typhoon Pepito (super typhoon Man-yi), Mr. Servando told The Manila Times that PAGASA could not predict this.
"But if a tropical storm makes landfall, say, in the first week of December, it is likely to be stronger than when it makes landfall in late December," the PAGASA head said.
"This is due to the influence of the northeast wind, so there are no super typhoons expected during that time based on historical data and records," Servando said.
The latest storm and low pressure forecast from the Philippine weather agency PAGASA said that from November 25-28, no tropical depressions or tropical storms are expected to appear in the PAGASA forecast area.
However, forecast models in the Philippines predict that from November 29 to December 5, two depressions and storms are likely to appear continuously.
The first low pressure near the East Sea is likely to form in the TCAD forecast area of PAGASA. This low pressure is expected to enter the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) and head towards Visayas - Southern Luzon, Philippines before dissipating.
Notably, the new low pressure in the eastern Philippines is likely to strengthen into a low to moderate storm.
Immediately after this low pressure near the East Sea, a second low pressure is likely to appear in the Sulu Sea (a large sea in the southwest of the Philippines, separated from the East Sea by Palawan Island).
The low pressure in the Sulu Sea forms within the Philippine PAR forecast area and is unlikely to strengthen into a storm. However, Philippine weather forecasters note that this low pressure is likely to move into the East Sea during the forecast period.
