The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration's typhoon forecast said the Philippines will still face one or two more storms that could make landfall in December.
This also means that no tropical storms or depressions are expected to form until the end of November, according to PAGASA Director Nathaniel Servando.
Asked whether the storms that will make landfall in December will be as strong as severe tropical storm Kristine (Typhoon Trami) and super typhoon Pepito (Super Typhoon Man-yi), Servando told The Manila Times that PAGASA cannot predict this.
"But if a tropical storm makes landfall, say, in the first week of December, it is likely to be stronger than if it makes landfall in late December," the PAGASA chief said.
"This is due to the influence of northeasterly winds, so no super typhoon is expected during that time based on historical data and records," Servando said.
The latest storm and depression forecast from the Philippine weather agency PAGASA said that from November 25 to 28, no tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to appear in PAGASA's forecast area.
However, forecast models in the Philippines predict that from November 29 to December 5, two low pressure systems and storms are likely to appear continuously.
The first low pressure area near the South China Sea is likely to form in the PAGASA TCAD forecast area. This low pressure area is expected to enter the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) and move towards the Visayas - Southern Luzon, Philippines before dissipating.
Notably, the new low pressure area east of the Philippines is likely to strengthen into a low to medium storm.
Right after this low pressure near the East Sea, a second low pressure is likely to appear over the Sulu Sea (a large sea in the southwest of the Philippines, separated from the East Sea by Palawan Island).
The low pressure system in the Sulu Sea has formed in the Philippine PAR forecast area and is unlikely to intensify into a typhoon. However, Philippine weather forecasters note that the low pressure system is likely to move into the South China Sea during the forecast period.
