According to Roman Vilfand, research director of the Russian Federation Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, 2025 is likely to be one of the hottest years on record.
"The main reason is the continuous increase in greenhouse gas concentrations in recent years, accompanied by increased ocean temperatures, contributing to increased air temperatures," Vilfand said.
Despite the La Nina phenomenon - which often causes the atmospheric cooling effect - the overall forecast still shows that the average global temperature in 2025 will be in the top 3 hottest years ever. Current climate policies are still not enough to curb the increase in temperatures.
According to the British Meteorological Agency, the forecast shows that the average global temperature in 2025 will fluctuate from 1.29 degrees Celsius to 1.53 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels.
If the forecast is accurate, it would be the 12th consecutive year that global average temperatures will be 1 degree Celsius above pre- industrial revolution levels.
According to the World Meteorological Center (WMO), from March to May 2025, sea surface temperatures in the Nino 3.4 ( central and eastern Pacific) and Nino 3 (oasis Pacific) are expected to return to average, showing the El Nino neutral state fluctuating in the South (ENSO).
Meanwhile, sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Atlantic are still expected to be above average, leading to many severe weather records globally.
The WMO weather forecast shows that temperatures in most of the mainland will be above average.
Africa and Japan will experience above-average temperatures, along with prolonged droughts.
Almost the entire Asian continent, especially China, India and Southeast Asia, including Vietnam, will face prolonged heat waves.
In South America, the equatorial region to 20 degrees South latitude will have unusually high temperatures.
The Caribbean and Central America continue to be affected by record-breaking heats.
North America, the southern and eastern United States, as well as Mexico, will experience a harsh summer.
Meanwhile, most European countries will record above-average temperatures, with the risk of extreme heat.
Although La Nina may bring temporary cold spells, the long-term temperature increase trend is still very clear.
La Nina could help some areas cool down slightly, however, the accumulation of heat in the ocean and atmosphere due to greenhouse gas emissions will continue to increase global temperatures.
In fact, even during La Nina years, the average global temperature remained high due to the impact of climate change.
Without strong intervention to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the world will continue to face severe heat waves, droughts and extreme weather in the coming years.
