The latest storm information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that at 4:00 a.m. on November 7, the center of Typhoon Yinxing (Marce as the Philippines calls it) was at about 18.3 degrees north latitude, 123.5 degrees east longitude, 200 km east of Aparri, Cagayan.
Maximum winds near the center of the storm are 155 km/h, gusting up to 190 km/h, central pressure 955 hPa. The storm is moving west-northwest at a speed of 15 km/h, with an effective radius of 560 km from the center of the storm.
PAGASA warns of strong winds and rough seas due to Typhoon Yinxing. Waves up to 12m high on the coast of Babuyan Islands; northern coast of mainland Cagayan and Ilocos Norte. Waves up to 9 m high on the remaining coast of Ilocos Norte, Cagayan. Waves of 8 m on the Batanes coast and 7 m on the northern coast of Ilocos Sur; the northern coast of Isabela.
Typhoon Yinxing is forecast to move west-northwest over the next 12 hours over the sea east of Cagayan before turning westward from this afternoon until Saturday (9 November).
The Yinxing is forecast to make landfall and pass through the Babuyan Islands and/or northern parts of mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Norte and Apayao (or pass very close to these areas) from this afternoon until early tomorrow morning (8.11).
The storm may leave the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) tomorrow evening. A strong increase in northeasterly winds will cause the storm to move more southwest starting from the weekend.
Typhoon Yinxing is forecast to approach the northern part of Cagayan during its peak intensity.
With a long journey since it was a cluster of clouds developing into a low pressure overnight (November 3), Yinxing has gone through continuous periods of intensification into a tropical depression on the afternoon of November 3, strengthening into a storm and typhoon.
Over the past 2-3 days, Yinxing has continuously strengthened, with satellite cloud images on the evening of November 6 showing that the eye of the storm is extremely sharp, the intensity according to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) reached level 14, gusting to level 17, the pressure dropped to 955 mbar.
At 1:00 a.m. on November 7, according to the Vietnam National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the center of the storm was at about 18.3 degrees north latitude; 123.7 degrees east longitude, in the sea northeast of Luzon Island (Philippines). The strongest wind near the storm center is level 15 (167-183 km/h), gusting over level 17. The storm is moving west-northwest at a speed of 5-10 km/h.
At around 1:00 a.m. on November 9, Typhoon Yinxing entered the East Sea and became the 7th active storm in the region in 2024. When entering the East Sea, the storm will move west-southwest and towards the Hoang Sa archipelago of Vietnam, gradually weakening in intensity, level 13, gusting to level 16.
However, we must still be on guard against a bad scenario where the storm may move towards the Central Central Coast, towards Da Nang on November 11-12, causing a heavy rain in the Central region early next week.
According to the Typhoon page on the Northwest Pacific, the development of storm No. 7 operating in the East Sea will be extremely complicated.