The latest storm and low pressure information on the morning of October 14 from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that the low pressure area is currently located southeast of Mindanao but is still outside the Philippine forecast area.
In the bulletin at 4:00 a.m. on October 14, PAGASA forecasters said that low pressure 10e has approached the Philippines closer.
As of 2:00 a.m. on October 14, Depression 10e was 1,785 km east of South Mindanao.
The Philippine weather agency said that this low pressure has a "possible to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours at an average level".
According to the "24 Oras" bulletin on the evening of October 13, this low pressure may become a tropical depression on October 15 and enter the Philippine forecast area called "Ramil" before the weekend.
Until now, the easterly winds will continue to affect the weather in some areas of the Philippines, causing cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms.
According to PAGASA's storm forecast, low pressure area 10e is considered to have the potential to strengthen into a storm, named Ramil in the Philippines. After affecting the Philippines, the storm is forecast to enter the East Sea and become storm No. 12, heading towards Vietnam and Hainan Island (China).
In the forecast released on October 13, Philippine typhoon forecasters pointed out that models seeing a new low pressure forming near the eastern boundary of the Philippine PAR and TCAD forecast areas during the week of October 13 to October 19. This low pressure is forecast to gradually move near Southern Luzon, Philippines during the forecast period with a high possibility of strengthening into a storm.
This storm will cross Northern Luzon, enter the East Sea, and head towards Vietnam and Hainan (China) from October 20 to October 26.
At the time of formation on October 13, low pressure area 10e was about 2,540km east of South Mindanao and was forecast to have little chance of becoming a tropical depression.
However, in subsequent updates, forecasters have adjusted the possibility of a potential low pressure becoming a No. 12 storm in the East Sea to strengthen into a moderate tropical depression.
At 8:00 a.m. on October 13, Depression 10e was about 2,295 km east of South Mindanao. By 2:00 p.m. on October 13, the low pressure system was getting closer, 2,115 km from South Mindanao. As of 8:00 p.m. on October 13, the 10e is still outside the Philippines' forecast area but is only 2,005 km east of South Mindanao.
