Domestic coffee prices
Entering the Sunday holiday (February 1st), the domestic coffee market temporarily suspended trading, the purchase price at agents remained unchanged compared to yesterday's closing session. Looking back at the past trading week, although there were strong fluctuations due to the impact from the international exchange, the biggest bright spot is that Vietnamese coffee prices still stand firm above the "reinhold" of 100,000 VND/kg. The average price in the Central Highlands region is currently anchored at 100,800 VND/kg.
Details in localities, Dak Nong province (old) continues to be the leader in terms of prices when maintaining the highest purchase level of 100,900 VND/kg.
In the coffee capital Dak Lak, the price remains flat at 100,800 VND/kg, showing that farmers' psychology of keeping goods is very strong.
Gia Lai province anchors prices at 100,700 VND/kg.
Notably, in Lam Dong, although under the biggest adjustment pressure in the previous session, the price still successfully protected the 100,000 VND/kg mark, not letting it break this important psychological support level.
World coffee prices
The world market has had a correction due to the impact of weather information.
On the London exchange, Robusta futures for March 2026 delivery are stopping at 4,113 USD/ton. Although there was a downward adjustment in the last session last week due to profit-taking pressure, the fact that the price still stands above the 4,100 USD/ton mark shows that actual demand for Robusta is still a good support for the market.
For the New York exchange, the March 2026 Arabica futures closed the week at 332.25 cents/lb. Pressure on this exchange mainly came from forecasts of favorable rains in Brazil's key coffee growing region of Minas Gerais next week.
Market opinion
The fact that domestic coffee prices are still "stable" above the 100,000 VND/kg mark even when the world Arabica exchange hit a 5.5-month low is an extremely positive sign.
This proves that the source of goods in the people is no longer under pressure to sell off massively like in previous years. The serious decline in Brazil's Robusta exports (down 61% in December) is creating a large supply "gap" that only Vietnam can compensate for.
Forecast for next week, the market may have a downward adjustment in the direction of world prices right from the opening session of the week. Otherwise, domestic prices will continue the sideways accumulation trend around the 100,000 - 101,000 VND/kg range. The 100,000 VND mark has now shifted from the resistance level to the hard support level.
