Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market in this morning session on February 27 is showing a slight psychological differentiation. After a strong fluctuation in the middle of the week, the buying price in key areas entered a accumulation phase with a narrow adjustment range of 100 - 300 VND/kg. This fluctuation level is assessed as quite stable, helping the average price level still stand firm at 96,900 VND/kg.
Specific transaction situation in localities:
Dak Lak and Dak Nong (old): Continue to maintain a sideways state, prices are anchored at 97,000 VND/kg.
Gia Lai: Slight adjustment to 96,700 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: Currently being purchased by agents around the threshold of 96,000 VND/kg.
This state reflects the observational psychology of both buyers and sellers in the face of conflicting information about the output prospects for the next crop year.
World coffee prices
On the international level, the market is being affected by long-term supply and demand reports, leading to technical corrections on both the London and New York exchanges.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): At the end of the trading session, Robusta futures for May 2026 delivery stopped at 3,639 USD/ton. The main pressure currently comes from Rabobank's forecast of a record output of 180 million sacks in the next crop year, along with Vietnam's strong export momentum in January with an increase of 38.3% compared to the same period.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): Arabica price closed the session at 282.30 cents/lb. Recovery was curbed as inventory on the ICE exchange continued to recover to a 4-month high of 466,055 bags. At the same time, the weather situation in Brazil is still changing positively with rainfall in Minas Gerais reaching 138% of the historical average.
Market outlook
Currently, coffee prices are in an information "low" zone as the basic factors of Brazil's record supply (forecast at 66.2 million bags for 2026) have been partly reflected in the market price. However, the lack of strong supporting news on consumption demand has made the recovery momentum unable to break through.
It is predicted that in the short term, domestic coffee prices will continue to maintain a state of stalemate around the 96,000 - 97,50 VND/kg range. The 34% drop in output in Colombia in January and Brazil's export decline report are still supporting points to help the market not fall into a sell-off situation. Coffee growers should closely monitor exchange rate movements and purchase movements from large roasters to make appropriate decisions.
