Domestic coffee prices
Opening the trading session on the morning of December 8, 2025, the domestic coffee market recorded a positive signal when green covered key growing areas, despite the unfavorable developments from the international trading floor last weekend.
On average, the purchase price in the Central Highlands provinces is currently fluctuating around 103,100 VND/kg.
Specifically, in Dak Lak province, the coffee price today was purchased at 103,200 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg compared to the previous session.
Similarly, in Gia Lai province, the purchase price also recorded an increase of VND 200/kg, anchored at VND 102,700/kg.
Lam Dong province is still the locality with the lowest price in the region, currently trading at 102,500 VND/kg, a slight increase of 200 VND/kg.
Notably, Dak Nong (old) continues to be the leading locality in terms of purchasing prices in the region. After adjusting to increase by 300 VND/kg, coffee prices here have reached 103,300 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
At the end of last weekend's trading session, coffee prices on the two major futures exchanges simultaneously turned down, negatively affected by currency factors and new supply. On ICE Futures Europe ( London), Robusta coffee futures for January 2026 delivery decreased by 7 USD, closing at 4,295 USD/ton. This is the lowest level in the past 2 weeks for this item. Subsequent delivery terms such as March 2026 and May 2026 also recorded red.
Following the same trend, on the ICE Futures US (New York) exchange, Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 closed down 5.65 cents (equivalent to a decrease of 1.48%), down to 374.85 cents/lb. The downward pressure on Arabica prices mainly comes from the weakening of the Brazilian Real. The currency has fallen to a seven-week low against the US dollar, which typically stimulates Brazilian manufacturers to increase sales to make a profit from foreign currencies, thereby putting pressure on market prices.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The coffee market is entering a sensitive period with many conflicting information strongly affecting investor sentiment.
The pressure to reduce short-term prices for Robusta is increasing as the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (VICOFA) said that export activities are on the rise. Currently, about 10% of Vietnam's Robusta area has been harvested.
The forecast of drier weather in the Central Highlands this month is also a signal that the harvest progress will be accelerated, bringing new supply to the market.
Another macro factor that puts pressure on prices is the move of Conab ( Brazil's crop forecasting agency). The agency has just raised Brazil's total coffee output in 2025 to 56.54 million bags, up 2.4% from the previous estimate. In addition, the European Parliament's decision to postpone the implementation of the EUDR for another year has somewhat relieved concerns about supply chain disruption, reducing market sentiment about short-term supply.
However, the decline in coffee prices was still held back by long-term concerns about the weather. Somar Meteorologia reported that Minas Gerais - Brazil's largest Arabica growing region - only received 39% of the historical average for the week ended November 28. The prolonged drought may affect the next crop's yield.
In addition, the inventory on the ICE exchange at an alarming level is also a factor supporting prices. Robusta inventories on ICE fell to an all-time low on Friday. Meanwhile, Arabica inventories, despite a slight recovery, are still at a record low in the past 1.75 years. The decline was partly due to US tariffs on imported goods, causing US buyers to cancel coffee purchase contracts from Brazil, tightening supply in the world's largest consumer market.
It is forecasted that this week, coffee prices may continue to fluctuate as the market considers the pressure of new crop supply from Vietnam and weather risks in South America.
