Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market recorded a simultaneous decrease in key growing areas, reflecting the caution of dealers in the face of strong fluctuations in the international market.
In Dak Lak, the average coffee price was recorded at 105,500 VND/kg, down 1,500 VND/kg compared to the previous session.
Similarly, in Dak Nong (old), the purchase price also stopped at VND 105,500/kg after decreasing by VND 1,500/kg.
Lam Dong province continues to record the lowest price in the region, down 2,000 VND/kg to 104,500 VND/kg.
In Gia Lai, the current purchase price is 105,000 VND/kg, down 1,600 VND/kg. The average price in the whole region is currently fluctuating around 105,300 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
At the end of the trading session on Wednesday (early this morning Vietnam time), the red color still covered the trading floors, however, the decrease range had narrowed compared to the previous session.
On the London Stock Exchange, Robusta coffee futures for January 2026 closed down $36/ton (equivalent to 0.83%), falling to a 1.5 month low. The downward pressure on prices is believed to be due to the prospect of abundant supply after the European Parliament approved a further year of deforestation regulation (EUDR).
On the New York Stock Exchange, Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 have been slightly more positive but still closed with a slight decrease of 1.00 cents/lb (0.37%). Arabica's decline has been curbed by the strengthening of the Brazilian Real, which has now reached a 2-week high against the USD, reducing export sales momentum from Brazilian farmers.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The market is being strongly affected by fundamental factors in supply and demand. Information about the harvest in Vietnam is the biggest factor causing bearish price pressure today.
According to the Vietnam Cocoa Coffee Association, about 10% of Robusta has been harvested and the forecast of dry weather will help speed up progress this month. In addition, Vietnam's export output in the first 10 months of 2025 increased by 13.4%, reaching 1.31 million tons.
In the long term, StoneX forecasts that Brazil's coffee output in the 2026/27 crop year will reach 70.7 million bags, up 29% over the same period, continuing to strengthen the psychology of abundant supply.
However, the decline in coffee prices still faces important support levels. Coffee inventories on the ICE exchange are at an alarming level: Arabica inventories fell to a 1.75-year low, while Robusta inventories hit an 11-month low on Wednesday.
In addition, the weather in Brazil is still worrying as rainfall in Minas Gerais last week only reached 20.4 mm, equivalent to 39% of the historical average, threatening the next crop's yield.
