Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, May 27, 2026, continued its strong recovery momentum after yesterday's adjustment session. In key provinces of the Central Highlands, the price of raw coffee beans has added 700 VND/kg, bringing the general price level of the whole region closer to the 89,000 VND/kg mark.
Dak Nong (old): Increased by 700 VND, reaching 88,600 VND/kg (continuing to lead the region).
Dak Lak and Gia Lai: Both increased by 700 VND, currently trading at 88,500 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: Increased by 700 VND, to 88,000 VND/kg.
While coffee prices increased, pepper still maintained a sideways state at the level of 141,000 VND/kg. Conversely, the USD/VND exchange rate at Vietcombank recorded a slight decrease of 11 VND, to 26,123 VND/USD.
World coffee prices
Green color spread strongly on international futures exchanges in the nearest closing session thanks to concerns about weather risks.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): July futures (RMN26) broke through +63 USD (+1.82%), closing the session at 3,519 USD/ton.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): July futures (KCN26) slightly increased +1.65 cent (+0.61%), reaching 274.00 cents/lb.
Market outlook
The core reason for this increase comes from continuous warnings about weather risks affecting the two largest production regions in the world. In Vietnam, meteorologists from Vaisala have warned about the situation that rains in the Central Highlands are extremely scattered and do not have enough humidity needed for the early fruit development stage, raising concerns about a significant decrease in Robusta production.
At the same time, concerns about the "Super El Niño" phenomenon with a probability of occurrence of up to 82% according to forecasts from NOAA are causing market concerns that the rainy season in Brazil will be delayed by the end of the year, adversely affecting the flowering process of the 2026/2027 crop year. In addition, the continued sharp drop in Arabica inventories on the ICE floor to the bottom of 3.25 months (446,816 bags) has created an important technical backing, preventing coffee prices from falling too low due to pressure from long-term supply surplus forecasts.
Although reports from StoneX and Marex Group Plc still maintain the scenario of a record harvest of nearly 76 million bags in Brazil along with Vietnam's soaring exports, in the short term, the weather factor is a "lever" deciding the direction of prices. With the market being in a high and extremely sensitive price range, farmers need to closely monitor updates on rainfall in the locality to be proactive in making decisions about garden care as well as the most appropriate sales strategy in this period.
