According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 7:00 a.m. on September 21, the center of Typhoon Ragasa was at about 17.9 degrees north latitude, 127 degrees east longitude, about 520km east of Luzon Island (Philippines). The strongest wind near the storm center is level 14 (150 - 166km/h), gusting to level 17. The storm is moving west-northwest at a speed of about 15km/h.
According to Mr. Mai Van Khiem - Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, in the next 24 hours, the storm is forecast to move west-northwest, at a speed of 15 - 20km/h and is likely to strengthen.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 22, the center of the storm was at about 19.6 degrees north latitude, 123.2 degrees east longitude, about 180km north-northeast of Luzon Island (Philippines). The storm intensity is level 16, gusting above level 17 (ie super typhoon level).
"It is forecasted that in the next 48 hours, the storm will move west-northwest, at a speed of 15-20km/h and enter the East Sea. It is forecasted that up to this point, the storm intensity when entering the East Sea can be as strong as level 16-17, gusting above level 17" - Mr. Khiem said.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 23, the center of the storm was at about 20.5 degrees north latitude, 118.8 degrees east longitude, in the sea east of the northern East Sea. The danger zone is north of latitude 18 degrees north latitude and east of longitude 116.5 degrees east longitude. The natural disaster risk level is level 4, the sea area east of the northern East Sea.
It is forecasted that in the next 72 hours, the storm will move west-northwest, at a speed of 20 - 25km/h.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 24, the center of the storm was at about 21.7 degrees north latitude, 113.6 degrees east longitude, in the waters of Guangdong province (China). Storm intensity level 15, gust above level 17. The danger zone is north of latitude 18.5 degrees north latitude and east of longitude 111 degrees east longitude. The natural disaster risk level is level 4 for the northern East Sea area.
Warning from the next 72 to 120 hours, the storm will move west-southwest, traveling about 20km per hour, gradually weakening.
According to Mr. Khiem, regarding the impact of the storm at sea, from September 22, the sea area east of the northern East Sea will gradually increase to level 8-9, then increase to level 10-14. The area near the storm's eye has strong winds of level 15-17, gusts above level 17, waves above 10m high, and rough seas. Ship operating in the above-mentioned dangerous areas are likely to be affected by thunderstorms, whirlwinds, strong winds and large waves.
The meteorological agency forecasts that from October to December, ENSO is likely to remain neutral and leaning towards the cold phase, but has not yet reached a La Nina cycle.
In the last 3 months of the year, storms and tropical depressions active in the East Sea and affecting our country are likely to be at a higher level than the average of many years. The average data for many years shows that there are about 4.5 storms/tropical depressions in the East Sea from October to December.
