Updated from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 7:00 p.m. on September 22, the center of super typhoon Ragasa was at about 19.5 degrees north latitude; 120.5 degrees east longitude, in the sea northwest of Luzon Island (Philippines). The strongest wind near the center of the super typhoon is level 17 (202 - 221km/h), gusting over level 17. The super typhoon is moving west-northwest at a speed of 20 - 25km/h.
Forecast of level 11 storm when making landfall in Quang Ninh to Ninh Binh
It is forecasted that in the next 24 hours, the super typhoon will move west-northwest at a speed of 20-25km/h and enter the East Sea.
According to Mr. Mai Van Khiem - Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the storm has not shown any signs of weakening when entering the East Sea to become storm No. 9.
"Today and tomorrow are the periods of peak intensity. Compared to Typhoon Yagi in 2024, Typhoon No. 9 is assessed as equivalent to or stronger" - Mr. Khiem said.
At 7:00 p.m. on September 23, the center of the storm was at about 20.9 degrees north latitude; 116.1 degrees east longitude, in the northeastern sea area of the northern East Sea. Strong intensity level 17, gust above level 17.
The danger zone is the area north of the 18-point north latitude and east of the 113.5 degrees east longitude. Level 4 natural disaster risk for the northeastern sea area of the northern East Sea.
It is forecasted that in the next 48 hours, the super typhoon will continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 20 - 25km/h and gradually weaken.
At 7:00 p.m. on September 24, the center of the storm was at about 21.6 degrees north latitude; 111.3 degrees east longitude, in the southern coastal area of Guangzhou (China), about 120km east of Zhou Peninsula. Strong intensity level 13 - 14, gust level 17.
The danger zone is the area north of latitude 18.5 degrees north latitude and east of longitude 108.5 degrees east longitude. Level 4 natural disaster risk for the northern sea area of the northern East Sea.
It is forecasted that in the next 72 hours, the super typhoon will move west-southwest at a speed of 20 - 25km/h and continue to weaken.
At 7:00 p.m. on September 25, the center of the storm was at about 20.8 degrees north latitude; 106.6 degrees east longitude, on the mainland from Quang Ninh to Ninh Binh. Strong intensity level 8 - 9, gust level 11.
The danger zone is the area north of latitude 18.0 degrees north latitude and west of longitude 114 degrees east longitude. The natural disaster risk level is level 4 for the northwestern sea area of the northern East Sea and level 3 for the Gulf of Tonkin.
The area of impact of the storm is from Quang Ninh to Ha Tinh
Regarding the impact of the storm at sea, according to Mr. Mai Van Khiem, the sea area north of the northern East Sea will gradually increase to level 8 - 9, then increase to level 10 - 14, the area near the center of the super typhoon will have level 15-17, gusts above level 17, waves over 10m high, and rough seas.
From September 24, the wind in the Gulf of Tonkin will gradually increase to level 6 - 7, then increase to level 8 - 10, the area near the storm's eye will have level 11 - 12, gusts of level 15, waves 5-7m high, and rough seas. Ship operating in the above-mentioned dangerous areas are likely to be affected by thunderstorms, whirlwinds, strong winds and large waves.
"With the current scenario, the storm's impact area is from Quang Ninh to Ha Tinh. The strongest storm wind area is from Quang Ninh to Thanh Hoa (coastal wind level 7 - 9, gusting to 10 - 12, near the storm center gusting to level 9 - 10, gusting to 14, deeper inland 6 - 7, gusting to 9 - 10)" - Mr. Khiem said.
According to Mr. Khiem, the strongest wind will be around the morning until the night of September 25.
"With the current storm forecast scenario, the heavy rain areas are forecast for the North, Thanh Hoa, Ha Tinh. In particular, the rain center is the provinces of Thai Nguyen, Nam Tuyen Quang, Lao Cai, Phu Tho, the Northern Delta has rainfall of 150 - 250mm, locally over 450mm" - Mr. Khiem provided forecast information.
