Surprised by the prediction of Mr. Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize

Bùi Đức |

The prediction rate for Mr. Trump to win the Nobel Peace Prize this year is 3%, lower than many candidates for humanitarian aid in Sudan.

According to data from the betting site Polymarket, the possibility of US President Donald Trump winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize is only 3%.

Mr. Trump has repeatedly affirmed that he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize for contributing to "ending" many wars in the world, including the conflict between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip over the past 2 years.

According to data released at 5:10 a.m. on October 10 (UK time), the probability of the victory of UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres and the humanitarian organization Doctors Without Border (MSF) is estimated at about 1%.

Former Norwegian Institute for Peace Research, ong ong ong ong ong xuat Urdal predicted in January that this year's award would likely be given to Sudan's "Emergency Response Departments".

According to data from Polymarket, the organization's chance of winning is currently at 18%.

Nobel Prize Week began in the Swedish capital Stockholm on October 6. The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced in the Norwegian capital Oslo on October 10 (local time).

This year, there were a total of 338 nominations, including 244 individuals and 94 organizations, while the record number of nominations was 376 in 2016.

According to media sources, the list includes US President Donald Trump, Swedish activist Greta Thunberg, the World Health Organization (WHO) and UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.

The Nobel Peace Prize was first awarded in 1901. There have been years when there were no winners, the last time was in 1972, The reasons include World War I, World War II, disagreements between committee members, or lack of worthy candidates.

Bùi Đức
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