Yahoo News' latest storm news says some storm forecast models have new information about Hurricane Tony and when the latest storm could form.
The Atlantic hurricane season typically ends in November, but the Caribbean still has warm sea temperatures, so a powerful storm is possible there.
Weather experts say Hurricane Tony could form in the Caribbean this weekend, between November 29 and December 2.
Hurricane forecaster Brian Shields — known as Mr. Weatherman on YouTube — said European storm forecasting models show a 30% to 40% chance of new storms appearing this week.
The storm is expected to be centered near Costa Rica and Nicaragua, an area that has produced many tropical storms and hurricanes this season.
The U.S. GFS also sees a tropical storm developing in the region. However, the Canadian Hurricane Center (CMC) and German Hurricane Center (ICON) do not have similar forecasts for a storm near Costa Rica and Nicaragua. However, Shields said ICON sees storm conditions developing in the region.
Sea temperatures in the region remain in the 30s, perfect for hurricanes. The latest storm of the Atlantic hurricane season is unlikely to have much of an impact on weather in the United States because the water in the Gulf of Mexico is much colder at this time of year.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting an “above normal” hurricane season ahead of the season’s start in June.
It's the final week of the Atlantic hurricane season. This year's intense season has broken several records.
This year's hurricane season, Super Hurricane Beryl broke the record for earliest formation, becoming the earliest Category 5 hurricane to hit Texas, USA in July.
Hurricane Helene, a Category 4 storm, is considered the most dangerous hurricane to hit the continental United States since Hurricane Katrina in 2005, according to preliminary data from NOAA.
Hurricane Milton made landfall in Florida a few weeks after Helene, after rapidly intensifying. NOAA said that Hurricane Milton's wind speeds increased by 90 mph in a day.
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season has so far recorded 18 named storms, compared to an average of 14. Of those, 11 have strengthened into hurricanes, compared to an average of 7. Five have strengthened into major hurricanes, Category 3 or higher. A typical season has only three major hurricanes.
The Atlantic hurricane season typically peaks in early September. But seven storms formed after September 25, a record number for the second half of the season.
Hurricane forecasters say it’s hard to define “typical” hurricane season in the context of climate change, and the developments in the 2024 season are creating more uncertainty about what will happen in the 2025 season.
