According to ABS-CBN's latest storm news on November 25, the storm is not expected to hit the Philippines until the end of November.
The Philippine news agency quoted forecast information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) saying that storms will temporarily stop in the Philippines in the last days of November after a series of storms and super typhoons in the first half of the month.
PAGASA typhoon forecaster Lorie Dela Cruz confirmed on TeleRadyo Serbisyo that there will be no typhoon in the next 3 to 5 days.
However, the Philippine weather agency noted that on November 25, Mindanao may experience moderate to heavy rains due to the tropical convergence zone. In addition, the northeast monsoon will bring cloudy skies with rain in Batanes, Cagayan and Apayao. Metro Manila and other parts of the Philippines may experience localized thunderstorms.
The latest storm and low pressure forecast on November 25 by the Philippine weather agency PAGASA said that during the week from November 25 to December 1, no low pressure is forecast to appear in the PAGASA PMD forecast area. Therefore, during the forecast period, no low pressure or storm is likely to appear around the East Sea.
PAGASA weather forecasters said that forecast models show that the week from December 2 to December 8 will record two tropical depressions, including one tropical depression near the East Sea and one tropical depression over the East Sea.
The first low pressure is forecast to be a low pressure near the East Sea, appearing in the TCAD forecast area of the Philippines. Forecasters say that this low pressure has little chance of strengthening into a storm. However, this low pressure is expected to enter the PAR forecast area of the Philippines, becoming a low pressure near the Philippines and potentially affecting the weather in this country.
The second depression is forecast to form in the Sulu Sea, within the Philippine PAR forecast area. The Sulu Sea is a large sea to the southwest of the Philippines, separated from the South China Sea to the northwest by Palawan Island and nearby smaller islands.
In November, typhoons Yinxing, Toraji and Man-yi, locally named Nika, Ofel and Pepito respectively, hit the Philippines, killing at least 14 people and causing about 3.5 billion pesos ($59.4 million) in damage to Philippine infrastructure and agriculture.
Last weekend, PAGASA Director Nathaniel Servando said that the Philippines is expected to welcome 1-2 typhoons in December. When asked whether the typhoons that hit the Philippines in December will be as strong as Typhoon Trami or Super Typhoon Man-yi, Nathaniel Servando said that PAGASA cannot predict this yet.
The Philippines’ top typhoon forecaster points out that if a typhoon hits the Philippines in the first week of December, it is likely to be stronger than a typhoon in late December. This is due to the influence of the northeast monsoon. Based on historical data, the possibility of a super typhoon in December is almost impossible.
