The Storms page on the Northwest Pacific Ocean said that the risk of natural disasters in the Central and South Central provinces of Vietnam is gradually becoming more apparent at the end of October when international weather forecast models (GFS of the US, ECMWF AI of Europe) are making complex forecasts about weather patterns causing heavy rain and the possibility of storms operating at the same time.
Disturbances in the upper easterly wind zone operating at strong intensity from around October 22-23 combined with the northeast monsoon of a cold air mass are likely to cause heavy rain lasting for many days, accompanied by the possibility of widespread flooding in river basins.
From around October 25-26, the eastern Philippines and the East Sea are likely to experience tropical cyclones.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) also forecast that a low pressure area is expected to form in the eastern part of PAGASA’s typhoon information region (TCID) during the week of October 14-20. This low pressure area is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm during the forecast period at a low to moderate level.
During the week of October 21-27, a low pressure system is expected to form in the West Philippine Sea (East Sea), with the possibility of strengthening into a storm, and a low pressure system inside the PAR.
As for the Atlantic hurricane season, one meteorologist said in an AP article about the back-to-back storms hitting the US East Coast that it has been a "crazy busy" year and warned that more storms could be on the way.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, and meteorologists say tropical cyclone activity remains higher than normal, in part due to record-high ocean temperatures.
“I think there will probably be two or three more named storms in the first week of November,” Jeff Masters, a meteorologist with Yale Climate Connections, said in the AP article.
Preparing as hurricane season winds down is more important than ever, according to weather experts, as climate change warms the oceans and creates conditions for more frequent, larger storms and longer hurricane seasons each year.
Hurricanes like Beryl, Debby, and Helene were all influenced by climate change, as were Hurricane Milton and Hurricane Francine, all of which brought strong winds to the United States.
On October 14, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said that a turbulent weather area in the eastern Atlantic Ocean is continuing its long journey westward, possibly strengthening into a tropical depression as it moves into an area favorable for development.
The disturbance, dubbed Invest 94-L by the NHC, has a low chance of development over the next two days and a moderate chance of development over the next week.
