The Typhoon page on the Northwest Pacific Ocean said that the risk of natural disasters in the Central and South Central provinces of Vietnam is gradually becoming available at the end of October when international weather forecast models (GFS of the US, ECMWF AI of Europe) are making complex forecasts about weather patterns causing heavy rain and the possibility of storms operating at the same time.
Disturbances in the high-altitude easterly wind zone operating with strong intensity from around October 22-23 combined with the northeast monsoon of a cold air mass are likely to cause heavy rain lasting for many days accompanied by the possibility of widespread flooding in river basins.
From October 25-26 onwards, the eastern Philippines and the East Sea are likely to experience tropical cyclones.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) also forecasts that during the week of October 14-20, a low pressure is expected to form in the area east of PAGASA's typhoon information area (TCID). This low pressure is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm during the forecast period at low to moderate levels.
During the week of October 21-27, a low pressure is expected to form in the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea), with the possibility of strengthening into a storm, and a low pressure inside the PAR.
Regarding the Atlantic hurricane season, a meteorologist said in an AP article about consecutive storms hitting the US East Coast that this is a "crazy busy" year and warned that there could be more storms.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, and meteorologists say tropical cyclone activity continues to be higher than normal, in part due to record-high ocean temperatures.
"I think there will be two or three more named storms in the first week of November," Jeff Masters, a meteorologist at Yale Climate Connections, said in an AP article.
According to weather experts, preparing for the end of the hurricane season is more necessary than ever, as climate change warms the oceans and creates conditions for more frequent, larger storms and longer seasons each year.
Storms like Hurricane Beryl, Hurricane Debby and Hurricane Helene were all affected by climate change, as well as Hurricane Milton and Hurricane Francine, all of which created strong winds affecting the United States.
On October 14, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said that a turbulent weather area in the eastern Atlantic is continuing its long journey westward, possibly strengthening into a tropical depression as it moves into a favorable area for development.
The disturbance zone, identified by the NHC as Invest 94-L, is likely to develop lowly over the next two days and could develop moderately over the next week.
