Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning (Saturday, January 10) continued to sink into red, extending the price reduction streak for the 3rd consecutive day. Compared to yesterday, coffee prices in the Central Highlands provinces have decreased by an average of 200 - 300 VND/kg, bringing the average price to 97,600 VND/kg.
In detail in each locality, Lam Dong is currently the place with the lowest price in the region when it decreased by 300 VND, falling to 97,200 VND/kg. In the capitals of Dak Lak and Gia Lai, the purchasing price also decreased by 300 VND, listed at 97,500 VND/kg.
Prices in Dak Nong (old) showed a slight decrease (-200 VND/kg) but also fell to the 97,800 VND/kg mark.
Looking back at the past week, the market has experienced a "super-fast roller coaster" state: from a weekly start around 98,500 VND, jumping to a peak of 99,100 - 99,200 VND in the middle of the week, then quickly retreating to the 97,000 VND zone at the end of the week. The 100,000 VND/kg mark has temporarily become far away.
World coffee prices
The international market just closed the trading week with a massive sell-off session (Saturday session, early Saturday morning Vietnam time). Red color covered both exchanges, especially the serious decline of Arabica coffee.
On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 had a shocking decrease of 14.70 cents (equivalent to a decrease of 3.94%), closing the week at 357.65 cents/lb. This is the strongest decrease in many weeks. The main reason kicking off this sell-off was the latest weather forecast stating that rain will appear in central Brazil next week, easing previous drought worries. In addition, the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing to a 4-week high also put great pressure on commodity prices.
The London exchange is also not outside the downward trend, under double pressure from the decline of New York and information about abundant supply from Vietnam. Robusta futures for March 2026 delivery fell 25 USD (0.63%), closing the week at 3,903 USD/ton. The January 2026 spot delivery also lost 32 USD, to 4,075 USD/ton.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
Looking back at the overall situation last week, the market has dien bien according to the "find out and sell" scenario. At the beginning of the week, prices increased sharply thanks to drought and flood rumors. However, when actual data on Vietnam's coffee exports was announced (up 17.5%, reaching 1.58 million tons) and rain forecasts in Brazil appeared, speculative cash flow quickly withdrew to take profits.
In the short term (the coming week), the market is likely to continue to bear adjustment pressure to find a new balance point. Information about rain in Brazil will be a key factor dominating the psychology of the New York exchange. If the rain occurs as forecast, Arabica prices may fall even deeper, dragging Robusta and Vietnamese domestic prices down.
