Domestic coffee prices
After a hot increase session approaching yesterday's historical peak, the domestic coffee market this morning (January 8) was under strong adjustment pressure. Short-term profit-taking sentiment combined with the deep decline of world Robusta prices has caused agents to simultaneously lower purchasing prices by 1,000 VND/kg on a large scale. The average price of the entire Central Highlands region is currently retreating to 98,100 VND/kg, temporarily moving away from the expected level of 100,000 VND.
Detailed records in localities show a steady decrease. In Dak Lak province - the coffee capital, the purchasing price has decreased by 1,000 VND, falling to the mark of 98,000 VND/kg. Similarly, in Gia Lai, the price was also adjusted to 98,000 VND/kg after losing 1,000 VND compared to the previous session.
Dak Nong (old), although still the leading locality in price, also could not avoid the general trend, decreasing by 1,000 VND to 98,200 VND/kg. In Lam Dong, the price of crushed coffee beans dropped deeply to 97,500 VND/kg, 1,000 VND lower than yesterday.
World coffee prices
The international market in the past session (ending in the early morning of January 8th Vietnam time) continued to dien bien trai chieu (develop in opposite directions), reflecting two contrasting supply and demand picture between two types of coffee.
On the London exchange, Robusta coffee prices were under strong selling pressure. The March 2026 delivery term decreased by 68 USD (equivalent to 1.70%), closing the session at 3,939 USD/ton. Other terms also sank into red, of which the January 2026 spot delivery term decreased by 78 USD, to 4,079 USD/ton. The main reason for Robusta's plunge is that information about supply from Vietnam is being unlocked. Data from the Statistics Office (Ministry of Finance) shows that Vietnam's coffee exports in 2025 increased sharply by 17.5% compared to the same period, reaching 1.58 million tons, reducing concerns about supply shortages in the global market.
Conversely, on the New York exchange, Arabica coffee prices still maintained impressive form when setting a 4-week high. March 2026 futures increased by 1.60 cents (0.43%), closing at 375.45 cents/lb. Arabica continued to be supported by extreme weather factors in Brazil, when the key growing region of Minas Gerais only received 67% of the historical average rainfall in the past week. In addition, the increase in the price of Real Brazil to the highest level in 1 month against the USD also caused farmers in this country to limit selling, supporting the price increase momentum.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
Today's declining session of the domestic market and the London exchange can be seen as a necessary technical correction after a series of hot rising days. Pressure from Vietnam's export figure of 1.58 million tons is a reasonable excuse for the short selling side on the London exchange to increase pressure, pushing Robusta prices back to test lower support zones.
However, this downward trend is unlikely to last deeply. Because, although Arabica inventories on the ICE exchange have recovered to a 2.5-month high (461,829 bags), the core concern about dry weather in Brazil has not yet been resolved. In addition, prolonged low rainfall will directly affect next crop yields, this factor will continue to support Arabica prices and indirectly limit Robusta's decline.
