Coffee prices today 11. 5: Slight decrease

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Coffee prices on May 11 recorded a slight decrease. Pressure from the forecast of a global surplus of 10 million bags and Vietnam's record export momentum are holding the market back.

Domestic coffee prices today

Opening the first trading session of the week on May 11, 2026, domestic coffee prices continued the downward adjustment trend. After a quiet Sunday, the price level in key Central Highlands provinces has lost an additional 100 - 200 VND/kg.

World coffee prices

On futures exchanges, coffee prices are in a "mixed" state due to the impact of closing data from last weekend's session (because Monday's session did not have major fluctuations in order matching).

London exchange (Robusta): July term (RMN26) maintained at 3,414 USD/ton. The increase was strongly restrained by Vietnam's export report: in the first 4 months of 2026, our country's coffee exports reached 810,000 tons, an increase of 15.8% compared to the same period.

New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): July term (KCN26) anchored at 274.80 cents/lb. Although Arabica inventories on the ICE exchange are at a 2.5-month low (477,045 bags), Brazil's record seasonal "ghost" (forecast to reach 75.9 million bags) is still weighing heavily on futures prices.

Coffee price assessment: Logistics bottlenecks and concerns about surplus

The current market situation is a battle between two conflicting streams of information:

The situation of the Hoarmuz Strait being closed has not shown signs of cooling down, causing transportation costs, insurance and fertilizer prices to remain very high. The actual Robusta inventory on the exchange is also at a bottom of 16.5 months with only 3,724 lots.

StoneX and Marex Group both maintained their forecast for a global surplus of 10 million bags for 2026. As Brazil begins to accelerate harvests, abundant supply will be a major challenge for price recovery momentum.

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