Overview
The second semi-final of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup will take place between Paris St-Germain and Real Madrid in New Jersey.
PSG have made an impressive recovery after the surprise group stage loss to Botafogo. They won 3 consecutive victories to reach the semi-finals. In all 3 recent victories, PSG have not conceded any goals. And all four of their tournament wins - including the opening against Atletico Madrid - have seen PSG beat their opponents by at least two goals.
PSG's most impressive performance so far was in the quarter-finals, where they beat Bayern Munich with a score of 2-0. Despite the disadvantage of two red cards, coach Luis Enrique's team still won a place in the semi-finals.
With Doue and Dembele both scoring, PSG currently have 9 different players who have scored at the FIFA Club World Cup 2025. They are also tied with Manchester City and Chelsea for the most goals in a FIFA Club World Cup (excluding home goals).
Enrique's side have also won four consecutive games in their most recent knockout matches in all competitions.
This meeting marks the fifth knockout match between PSG and Real Madrid, but the first of the semi-finals. PSG have won their first two matches - in the UEFA Cup 1992-1993 and the Cup of the national cup winning teams 1993-1994. However, Madrid have won their last two encounters, in the round of 16 of the 2017 2018 and 2021-2022 Champions League.
Real Madrid youngster Gonzalo Garcia with 4 goals is currently the top scorer in the tournament, along with Angel Di Maria (Benfica), Marcos Leonardo (Al-Hilal) and Guirassy (Dortmund). He has contributed to the goals in his five appearances at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup (4 goals, 1 assist).
At 21 and 103 days, Garcia is Madrid's youngest player since Jese in 2014 to contribute to five consecutive appearances.
Xabi Alonso's side will rely on their history in the competition. Real Madrid remains unbeaten in the history of the FIFA Club World Cup (17, 3 draws, 0 losses) and has won 15 of their last 16 matches in the tournament since 2014. Their only weakness in that run came in this year's group stage - a 1-1 draw with Al-Hilal.
In total, PSG and Real Madrid have met 12 times, in which Los Blancos have been slightly better (won 5, drew 3, lost 4).
Predicting the result
PSG are considered the team likely to continue in this match with a 47.4% chance. However, Real Madrid's figure is not low at 27.3%. The remaining 25.3% chance is that the match will have to enter extra time.
Score prediction: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Expected lineup:
PSG: Donnarumma, Hakimi, Marquinhos, Lucas Beraldo, Nuno Mendes, Vitinha, Joao Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Barcola, Doue, Kvaratskhelia.
Real Madrid: Courtois, Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Asencio, F. Garcia, Tchouameni, Bellingham, Valverde, Guler, G. Garcia, Vinicius Junior.
The match between PSG and Real Madrid takes place at 2:00 am on July 10 (Vietnam time).
