Domestic coffee prices
On October 8, coffee prices in key Central Highlands regions decreased by VND 1,000/kg, bringing the average price in the whole region down to VND 113,800/kg.
Localities all decreased by 1,000 VND/kg, with Dak Lak, Dak Nong (old) and Gia Lai all down to 114,000 VND/kg and Lam Dong at 113,500 VND/kg.
This decline has erased all recent recovery results. From the peak of 122,000 VND/kg at the end of August, the current price has decreased by 8,200 VND/kg, showing a huge fluctuation over the past month.
World coffee prices
The international coffee market continues to maintain its sell-off momentum, strengthening the strong correction trend.
London Robusta coffee also fell another 57 USD/ton (-1.26%), closing at 4,414 USD/ton.
Arabica coffee (New York) also fell sharply by 5.50 US cents/lb (1.54%), closing at 375.85 US cents/lb.
This continuous decline confirms that the market is experiencing a strong liquidation period after prices increased too much last week.
Assessment and recommendation
World coffee prices have fallen sharply since the end of September 2025 in the context of fluctuations in the global financial market. The main reason is that the US Federal Reserve (FED) has cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points and signaled that it will continue to loosen monetary policy, causing investment capital to shift away from commodity exchanges, including coffee.
At the same time, the supply outlook became more positive. In Vietnam, the output for the 2025-2026 crop year is forecast to reach 1.76 million tons (equivalent to 29.4 million 60kg bags), an increase of 6% compared to the previous year and the highest level in the past 4 years. Supply from Brazil has also improved.
In addition, sluggish consumption demand due to previous high prices has caused roasters to delay purchases.
It is forecasted that in the short term, coffee prices may continue to be under downward pressure due to abundant supply from the new harvest. However, expected increased demand during the year-end holiday season is expected to be the driving force for prices to recover.
