Storm No. 1 Wutip is showing signs of strengthening and storm forecast information is continuously being updated by the meteorological agency.
The reporter had a quick discussion with Mr. Vu Anh Tuan - Deputy Head of Weather Forecast Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting about the notable impacts of the storm.
Sir, could you please tell us the current location of the storm and how it will develop in the coming hours?
- Our latest update at 4:00 p.m. on June 11, the center of storm No. 1 was at about 16.8 degrees north latitude; 111.9 degrees east longitude in the Hoang Sa archipelago.
The strongest wind near the storm center is level 8 (62-74km/h), gusting to level 10; moving west-northwest at a speed of about 15km/h.
By the morning of June 12, storm No. 1 is likely to change direction, towards Hainan Island (China) and continue to strengthen.
When in the south of Hainan Island (China), the storm intensity may be level 10, gusting to level 13.
What is the scenario for storm No. 1 after that, will it change direction, towards the Gulf of Tonkin or not, sir?
- The high-probability scenario for Typhoon No. 1 is that it will cross Hainan Island (China) and move north-northeast into the southern mainland of China.
However, a low-probability scenario is that Typhoon No. 1 will circle west of Hainan Island (China) and move east of the Gulf of Tonkin; then move inland south of China.
With such scenarios, what are the forecasts for the notable impacts of storm No. 1, sir?
- Regardless of the scenario, the west of the North East Sea (including the Hoang Sa archipelago) will have strong winds of level 8 - 9, gusting to level 11, near the storm's eye level 9 - 10, gusting to level 13, waves 3 - 5m high, near the storm's eye 4 - 6m, very rough seas.
From the night of June 11, the offshore sea area from Quang Tri to Quang Ngai will have winds gradually increasing to level 6 - 7, the area near the storm's eye will have level 8, gusts of level 10, waves 3 - 5m high, very rough seas.
Note that the sea area east of the Gulf of Tonkin will have winds gradually increasing to level 6 - 7, then increasing to level 8, gusting to level 10. In one scenario, if the storm enters the Gulf of Tonkin, the wind may be strong at level 8 - 9, gusting to level 11 - 12 - this scenario is less likely but still need to be cautious.
The circulation of storm No. 1 combined with the southwest monsoon will have heavy to very heavy rain in the Central Central region and the Northern Central Highlands from the night of June 11 to June 13, with common rainfall from 100 - 350mm. In particular, Quang Tri, Hue, and Quang Nam may experience some places with over 400 - 450mm of rain.
We have specifically warned of the risk of local heavy rain (rainfall greater than 200mm within 6 hours). This is a dangerous scenario, which can cause flash floods and landslides, especially in the mountainous areas of the Central Central region and the northern Central Highlands.
Sincerely thank you!
