On the morning of October 2, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) issued an emergency storm notice saying that tropical depression Paolo had strengthened into a storm. At 4:00 a.m. on October 2, the center of the storm was at 14.6 degrees North latitude, 128.2 degrees East longitude, about 705km east of Quezon province (Philippines).
Storm Paolo is moving in a West-Northwest direction, at a speed of 20 km/h, with the strongest wind near the center reaching 65 km/h, gusting to 80 km/h, central pressure of 1000 hPa. The storm's wind radius is 250km from the center of the storm.
Typhoon Paolo is forecast to continue to strengthen, possibly reaching strong tropical storm level, even becoming a typhoon after crossing Luzon Island and entering the East Sea. At that time, this will be the 11th storm of the 2025 storm season in the East Sea, with the international name Matmo.
PAGASA has placed 22 areas in the Philippines under a Category 1 storm warning. Although Paolo may make landfall in the Isabela or Aurora (northern Luzon) area on the morning of October 3, heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge will affect many other localities outside the storm's center.
After crossing Luzon, Paolo is forecast to enter the East Sea on the afternoon of October 3, moving west-northwest. The storm is likely to strengthen and directly affect the northern part of the East Sea on October 4.
The Vietnam National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting predicts that from the afternoon of October 3, the sea area east of the North East Sea will have winds gradually increasing to level 6-7; then increasing to level 8, the area near the storm's eye will have strong winds of level 9-10, gusts of level 12, waves 4.0-6.0m high. The sea is very rough.
During October 4-6, the North East Sea area (including Hoang Sa special zone) is likely to be affected by strong winds of level 11-12, gusting to level 15.
Rain forecast: From October 4-6, the mountainous and midland provinces of the North are likely to have very heavy rain, with the risk of flash floods and landslides.
Northern Delta: Strong winds of level 6-7, gusts of level 8-9, accompanied by heavy rain in waves. Hanoi and the plains need to be vigilant against urban flooding.
In the North Central region, Thanh Hoa, Nghe An, and Ha Tinh provinces may be indirectly affected by the circulation of storm No. 11. moderate to heavy rain is forecast, some places will have very heavy rain on October 5-7.
The mountainous areas of the North and North Central regions are wary of flash floods and landslides.
