The scenario of Ukraine joining the EU in 2027 is unimaginable

Châu Anh |

European Union (EU) officials have just completely dismissed the possibility of Ukraine becoming an official member by 2027, calling it an impossible scenario.

Ukraine's ambition to join the European Union (EU) has just faced a major practical barrier. On December 13, according to British news agencies, EU representatives and senior diplomatic officials frankly declared that the 2027 time frame was "completely impossible" for Ukraine.

A European diplomat revealed that completing the process for Ukraine to join the bloc within the next 2 years is an extremely difficult task in terms of technology and legality. More worryingly, the official also emphasized an important detail: It is still unclear whether the highest leadership of the European Union will truly unanimously support the acceleration of this process, despite previous public statements of political and diplomatic support.

The optimistic assessment from the EU's internal side is completely opposite to the optimistic speculations that have recently appeared in the international media. Previously, public opinion was stirred by reports that Ukraine could become an EU member as soon as possible on January 1, 2027. This specific timeline is said to be part of proposals being discussed at US-intermediated peace talks, to create momentum for Kiev to accept peace deals to end the conflict.

However, the latest response from European officials shows a large gap between US political calculations and the actual admission process of the old continent. A country's entry into the EU is not simply a political decision, but a comprehensive transition. Candidate countries must meet thousands of strict standards (called Copenhagen standards) on market economy, justice system, human rights and anti-corruption.

For a country devastated by conflict like Ukraine, reforming its entire legal and economic system to be compatible with the EU in less than 24 months is considered an "impossible task". Many experts say the US is making promises on behalf of the EU without carefully calculating the ability to absorb the new member of this bloc.

In addition to technical barriers, Kiev's path is also blocked by harsh internal political factors. The European Commission had proposed starting talks to join Ukraine as early as 2024, but the ambitious plan had been ruined by Hungary's boycott.

The persistent opposition from Budapest, combined with recent skepticism from other diplomatic officials in the bloc, shows that consensus in the EU is shaken. The admission of new members requires the absolute consent of all 27 member states. With just one vote of no interest (as in the case of Hungary or Slovakia), the door to EU membership in 2027 will immediately close for Ukraine, turning this time frame into a distant dream.

Châu Anh
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