The latest storm and low pressure information from the US National Hurricane Center said that a low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico is causing showers for the central and western Gulf Coast but is not expected to continue to strengthen into a storm. A cloud area in the Bahamas is drifting toward Florida, causing heavy rain on the East Coast of the United States and potentially causing localized flooding.
Meanwhile, a cloud area has moved off the coast of West Africa and is now in the eastern Atlantic. This potential low pressure area is moving westward and is forecast to encounter more favorable conditions to continue to strengthen, with lower wind shear.
Low wind shear and a warm Atlantic will help the system organize better. Therefore, forecasters in the US say that this system could strengthen into a tropical depression in the first half of next week. Some data shows that Jerry - the next storm of the Atlantic hurricane season - could form from this cloud area.
The latest storm forecast data shows that tropical depressions and storms have a 50% chance of forming from this system in the next 7 days.
The signal of a new storm Jerry appeared in the context of the National Hurricane Center saying that Imelda had been downgraded since October 2 and that the system was moving away from Bermuda. According to the latest data, Imelda is about 590km east-northeast of Bermuda. Bermuda is no longer on the tropical storm warning.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs through November 30, and on average, there are four named storms in October and November, with two reaching hurricane strength and one strengthening into a major hurricane. The peak of the Atlantic hurricane will occur between mid-August and mid-October.
