The latest storm and low pressure information from the Philippine weather agency PAGASA said that at 2:00 a.m. on November 8, the cloud cluster outside the Philippine PAR forecast area had strengthened into low pressure 11b. The low pressure is expected to strengthen over the next 24 hours.
The US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) said that the newly appeared low pressure near the Philippines is Invest 92W, located near the Northern Mariana Islands. This low pressure is also likely to strengthen in the next 24 hours.
Right after the Invest 92W depression, the 93W depression has also formed in the western Pacific. The JTWC forecasts that this low pressure has a moderate chance of strengthening into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours.
JTWC's forecast models show that the Invest 93W depression is in a favorable environment to strengthen further due to the warm sea surface, from 30-31 degrees Celsius, extremely good flow and low to moderate wind shear. It is expected that Invest 93W will continue moving west-northwest and will quickly strengthen in the next 2 days.
The new low pressure near the Philippines appeared in the context of Typhoon Yinxing (local name Marce) continuing to weaken and entering the East Sea.
At 4:00 a.m. on November 8, the center of Typhoon Yinxing was in the coastal waters of Pasuquin, Ilocos Norte, Philippines, with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the center, gusts of up to 215 km/h. The storm is moving west-northwest at a speed of 10 km/h. Strong winds at typhoon level in Typhoon Yinxing are spreading up to 500 km from the center of the storm.
Previously, in the storm and low pressure forecast released on November 7, PAGASA stated that when Typhoon Yinxing enters the East Sea during the week of November 7-13, 2 low pressure areas will appear in the west of the PMD forecast area. The first low pressure is forecast to enter PAR with the possibility of strengthening into a moderate storm. The second low pressure is expected to form west of PAGASA's TCID forecast area with the potential to strengthen into a low to moderate storm.
PAGASA forecasts that during the week of November 14-20, the first low pressure will pass through Northern Luzon, Philippines and then enter the East Sea with the possibility of strengthening into a storm at an average level. The second low pressure near the Philippines will move east of Luzon before turning toward Japan. This low pressure is likely to strengthen into a low to moderate storm.
Similarly, SCMP's latest typhoon report said that forecasters in Hong Kong (China) warned that while they are raising their vigilance for Typhoon Yinxing, two other tropical storms could affect Hong Kong (China) in the first half of next week.
The Hong Kong (China) Forecasting Agency warned that two more storms could form east of the Philippines.
"There is a large area of low pressure in the northwest Pacific Ocean east of the Philippines and some other convective clouds are developing east of that low pressure area. The latest forecast from computer models shows that there is a possibility of these two systems developing into tropical storms next week, but the uncertainty level is still high," the agency's hurricane bulletin stated.
