The latest storm and low pressure information from the Philippine weather agency PAGASA said that at 2:00 a.m. on November 8, the cloud cluster outside the Philippine PAR forecast area had strengthened into low pressure 11b. It is forecasted that this low pressure has a low chance of strengthening in the next 24 hours.
The US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) said the newly formed low pressure area near the Philippines is Invest 92W, located near the Northern Mariana Islands. This low pressure area also has a low chance of strengthening in the next 24 hours.
Right after the Invest 92W depression, the 93W depression has also formed in the western Pacific Ocean. JTWC forecasts that this depression has a moderate chance of strengthening into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours.
JTWC forecast models show that the Invest 93W depression is in a favorable environment to strengthen further due to warm sea surface temperatures (30-31 degrees Celsius), excellent currents, and low to moderate wind shear. Invest 93W is expected to continue moving west-northwest and rapidly strengthen over the next two days.
A new low pressure system near the Philippines emerged as Typhoon Yinxing (local name Marce) continued to weaken and move into the East Sea.
At 4:00 a.m. on November 8, the center of Typhoon Yinxing was in the coastal waters of Pasuquin, Ilocos Norte, Philippines, with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the center of the storm, gusting up to 215 km/h. The storm is moving west-northwest at a speed of 10 km/h. Typhoon-force winds in Typhoon Yinxing are extending up to 500 km from the center of the storm.
Previously, in the storm and low pressure forecast released on November 7, PAGASA stated that when Typhoon Yinxing enters the East Sea during the week of November 7-13, two low pressure areas will appear to the west of the PMD forecast area. The first low pressure area is forecast to enter PAR with a moderate chance of strengthening into a storm. The second low pressure area is expected to form to the west of PAGASA's TCID forecast area with a low to moderate chance of strengthening into a storm.
PAGASA forecasts that during the week of November 14-20, the first low pressure will move across Northern Luzon, Philippines, then into the East Sea with the possibility of strengthening into a storm still at a moderate level. The second low pressure near the Philippines will move east of Luzon before turning towards Japan. This low pressure has the possibility of strengthening into a low to moderate storm.
Similarly, SCMP's latest storm news said that weather forecasters in Hong Kong (China) warned that while raising vigilance for Typhoon Yinxing, two other tropical storms could affect Hong Kong (China) in the first half of next week.
The Hong Kong (China) Forecast Bureau warned that two more storms could form east of the Philippines.
"There is a large area of low pressure in the northwest Pacific Ocean located east of the Philippines and some additional convective clouds developing east of that area. The latest forecast from computer models shows that there is a chance that these two systems will develop into tropical storms next week, but the level of uncertainty remains high," the agency's storm forecast said.
