Supply and transactions surge
Sharing with Lao Dong reporters, the Center for Market Research & Customer Understanding - One Mount Group said that 2025 marks the strong return of the Ho Chi Minh City apartment market when more than 30,600 new apartments were launched, an increase of more than 200% compared to the previous year. The number of apartments sold also doubled, showing that liquidity has improved significantly after the decline period.
The market not only recovered in quantity but also showed improvement in the quality of cash flow, as interest rates were maintained at a low level in 2025 and many previously stalled projects were "blown up" thanks to new laws on land, housing and real estate business.
Binh Duong's merger into Ho Chi Minh City has created a strong psychological boost. From a satellite market, this area quickly became a "new suburb" of the megacity, attracting a series of large-scale projects thanks to abundant land funds, lower development costs than the center and increasingly complete connecting infrastructure.
Central apartment prices exceed 100 million VND/m2
Along with the market recovery, the apartment price level in the central area of Ho Chi Minh City has officially exceeded the 100 million VND/m2 mark in 2025. The removal of the land price frame and the application of a land price list close to the market from 2026 have significantly increased input costs for projects, creating pressure to push selling prices up.
In that context, apartment prices in the central area are forecast by the Center for Market Research & Customer Understanding - One Mount Group to continue to increase by 10-15% per year in the period 2026-2027, when a new legal system helps to remove backlog projects and supply is gradually unlocked.
IFC and infrastructure create "push" for the market
One of the biggest drivers of the new growth cycle is the official establishment of the International Finance Center (IFC) in Ho Chi Minh City at the end of 2025. With a scale of nearly 900 hectares in core areas such as Ben Thanh and Thu Thiem, IFC is expected to strongly attract FDI capital, leading to a large demand for housing, especially in the high-end and luxury segments.
At the same time, the urban transportation infrastructure system is also entering a boom phase, with metro, ring road and urban railway lines being deployed simultaneously. Real estate projects located along these infrastructure axes are becoming destinations for investment capital and real housing needs.
Stepping into 2026, the Ho Chi Minh City apartment market is forecast to shift strongly to a long-term investment trend. Price pressure and narrowing short-term profit margins gradually eliminate surfing sentiment, replaced by a 3-5-year holding strategy.
In the context of volatile interest rates and cost of capital, buyers and investors are recommended to pay more attention to cash flow management, prioritizing projects associated with key infrastructure – where prices can both increase and ensure liquidity and long-term exploitation efficiency.
