Overview
West Ham are facing the risk of creating a memorable milestone in the club's history if they cannot improve their home form when hosting Newcastle United in the next round of the Premier League.
The Hammers have won just one of their last eight home games against Newcastle at the London Stadium (D2 L5) and have failed to win in their last six home meetings with the opponent.
David Moyes's side are also having their worst start in Premier League history after nine games, having won just four points, behind their previous worst record in 2006 2007 (5 points). If they continue to decline, West Ham could lose up to 8 of their opening 10 matches of the season - something that has never happened in the club's history.
The main reason for the series of disappointing results lies in the loose defense. West Ham have conceded the most goals this season (20 goals), and are the team that has faced the second largest number of shots (133) and has the second highest expected goals conceded (xG conceded) (15.2).
Notably, this is the first time since 1967-1968 that West Ham have conceded 20 goals in 8 matches - a testament to their serious decline in defense.
The decision to replace Graham Potter with Nuno Espirito Santo has not yet brought the desired results. Under the Portuguese strategist, West Ham only drew in their debut match and lost 3 consecutive matches.
This is also the sixth consecutive series of 3 defeats in Nuno's coaching career in the Premier League. And if he loses again, he will face a sad record of 4 consecutive losses for the first time.
However, The Hammers may find some hope in Newcastle's poor away record. Eddie Howe's side have failed to win their last seven Premier League away games (D4 L3) and have failed to score in four consecutive games.
The last time the "Magpies" went through a longer winless streak away from home was 4 years ago, from August to December 2021 (9 matches).
In his Premier League coaching career, Eddie Howe has 7 wins against West Ham (6 draws, 4 losses) - only Aston Villa has the most wins against him (8). Howe has also won all 3 times against Nuno, scoring a total of 16 goals (an average of more than 5 goals per match).
Newcastle, who just beat Tottenham 2-0 to reach the Carabao Cup quarter-finals, are showing an explosive habit at the end of the match. The Magpies have scored seven of their last 13 Premier League goals in the last 15 minutes, while in the previous 34 goals, only one was scored from the 76th minute onwards.
Bruno Guimaraes' 90th-minute goal against Fulham in round 9 was Newcastle's latest decisive goal since March 2024, when Harvey Barnes scored against West Ham.
Head-to-head record
Newcastle have an impressive record at the London Stadium, having lost just one of their last eight Premier League games here (W5 D2).
In fact, the "Magpies" are unbeaten in their last 6 visits to West Ham (4 wins, 2 draws), showing clear dominance.
In contrast, The Hammers have won just two of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Newcastle (D4 L6). Notably, both of those victories took place at the opponent's St James' Park (August 2021 and November 2024).
Score prediction: West Ham 0-1 Newcastle
The match between West Ham and Newcastle takes place at 9:00 p.m. on November 2 (Vietnam time).
