Typhoon Matmo is forecast to make landfall in Aurora - Isabela (Philippines) on the morning of October 3, then enter the East Sea this evening, becoming storm No. 11, with a high possibility of strengthening into a typhoon.
The latest storm information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that Typhoon Matmo (local name: Paolo) has strengthened overnight and this morning (October 3) as it approached the eastern coast of Luzon Island. At 4:00 a.m. on October 3, the center of the storm was at 16.0 degrees North latitude, 123.5 degrees East longitude, about 150km east of Casiguran Town (Aurora Province).
Maximum winds near the center of the storm are 100 km/h (level 10), gusting to 125 km/h. Central pressure 990 hPa. Strong wind radius: halfway up to 350km from the center of the storm.
The direction is moving West Northwest, speed about 20 km/h.
PAGASA warned that Typhoon Matmo will bring heavy to very heavy rains to the northern and central Luzon regions today. There is a high risk of flash floods, landslides in mountainous areas and widespread flooding in low-lying areas.
The storm is forecast to make landfall in the morning or afternoon of October 3 in the northern part of Aurora province or the southern part of Isabela province, then sweep across Luzon Island before reaching the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) in the evening of the same day.
After passing Luzon, Typhoon Matmo will enter the East Sea, becoming Typhoon No. 11 and is likely to rapidly strengthen into a typhoon (level 12-13). It is expected that by tomorrow morning (October 4), the storm will leave the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) and move deep into the East Sea, heading northwest.
Meteorological experts say that the intensity of storm No. 11 depends largely on the subtropical high pressure in the North. If the edge of the high pressure moves, the storm's trajectory may change and move lower than initially forecast.
According to the Vietnam National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 1:00 a.m. on October 4, the center of the storm was at 17.7 degrees North latitude, 118.5 degrees East longitude; in the eastern sea of the North East Sea. Intensity level 10, gust level 12. Moving west-northwest, about 25 km/h, entering the East Sea and likely to strengthen.
At 1:00 a.m. on October 5, the center of the storm was at 19.2 degrees North latitude, 113.3 degrees East longitude; in the northwest sea of the North East Sea, about 340km East Southeast of the Lusian Peninsula (China). Intensity level 12, gust level 15. Moving west-northwest, 20-25km/h, it is likely to continue to strengthen.
At 1:00 a.m. on October 6, the center of the storm was at 21.1 degrees North latitude, 108.8 degrees East longitude; in the North of the Gulf of Tonkin. Intensity level 11, gust level 14. Moving west-northwest, 20-25 km/h.
