The latest storm and low pressure forecast on February 7 from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that a new low pressure is likely to form in the area south of PAGASA's PMD forecast area.
Philippine weather forecasters say that this low pressure in the East Sea is unlikely to strengthen into a storm.
PAGASA's February 7 forecast bulletin also stated that during the week from February 14 to February 20, there is little chance of a low pressure or storm forming in the PMD forecast area.
Philippine typhoon forecasters also announced the expected path of the typhoon near the East Sea in February, although there is little chance of a typhoon forming this month.
There are two common paths for storms in the Philippine PAR forecast area in the month: storms forming in the western Pacific enter PAR and then circulate back; storms forming in the western Pacific, entering PAR and moving towards the Philippine mainland but dissipating right before making landfall.
In its February typhoon forecast, PAGASA said that there may be no or only one tropical storm near the Philippines in February.
PAGASA Grace Castaneda weather expert forecasts for February 1. "This February, there is a possibility that there will be no or only one tropical storm forming or entering the Philippine forecast area," she said.
According to the February forecast model, if the storm forms, it is likely to affect eastern Visayas and Mindanao.
"The storm is expected to circle and lie far from the Philippine mainland," PAGASA experts pointed out.
If the storm forms in February and enters the Philippine PAR forecast area, the storm will be locally named Auring. This is the first storm name for PAGASA's 2025 typhoon season.
