The storm forecast bulletin of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on December 27 said that during the week from December 27, 2024 to January 2, 2025, a low pressure is expected to appear in the southwest of the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR), near the southern East Sea. The low pressure is unlikely to strengthen into a storm.
During the week from January 3 to January 9, 2025, the low pressure will continue to appear in the southwest of PAR, near the southern East Sea. This low pressure is also unlikely to strengthen into a storm.
Meanwhile, according to the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), on December 28, the remnants of Typhoon No. 10 Pabuk were located off the southern coast of Vietnam. Although it is creating intermittent convection, environmental conditions are not favorable for any redevelopment of this system.
The JTWC forecasts a low pressure (low pressure A) likely to form southeast of the Republic of Palau over the weekend. Upper-level winds are unlikely to be favorable for any significant development of the system as they will move slowly northwest until early next week.
The JTWC also warned that an area of turbulent weather off the east coast of Mindanao (Philippines) is associated with a low pressure trough (low pressure B). The system will pass through the Philippines without any significant development by the weekend.
However, by next week, environmental conditions in the East Sea could become favorable for the formation of a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm. By the first day of the new year, upper-level winds will become much less favorable for development. The chance of low pressure B forming within 7 days is 30%.
The Vietnam National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting forecasts that on the night of December 28 and December 29, the North East Sea (including the sea area of Hoang Sa archipelago) will have strong northeast winds of level 6-7, gusting to level 8-9. Strong seas. Waves are 4-6m high.
The sea area from Quang Ngai to Ca Mau, the central East Sea area, the sea area west of the South East Sea area (including the sea area west of Truong Sa archipelago) has northeast winds of level 6, sometimes level 7, gusting to level 8-9. Strong seas. Waves are 3-6m high. The risk level of natural disasters due to strong winds at sea is level 2.
