According to the latest weather forecast from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), up to 4 weather disturbances may form or enter PAGASA's Monitoring Area (PMD) in the period from September 1 to 14.
PAGASA assesses the possibility of a tropical cyclone appearing at a noteworthy level in the first week and is still likely to continue in the second week.
From July 1 to 7, PAGASA forecasts a vortex with characteristics similar to a tropical cyclone (TCLV) likely to form in the east of the Tropical Cyclone Warning Area (TCAD), denoted as TCLV1.
According to the forecast map, TCLV1 zone is outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is forecast to move towards Japan. The possibility of this vortex developing into a storm in the first week is assessed from low to medium.
During the same period, Typhoon Saudel is still outside PAR and is forecast to be likely to return to the northwest PAR area.
From September 8-14, PAGASA forecasts 3 more TCLV whirlpools, numbered 2, 3 and 4 on the map.
TCLV2 is likely to form in the east of TCAD and is forecast to potentially enter the northeastern PAR area.
TCLV3 is forecast to form near the western boundary of PMD, then likely to move into PAR.
Meanwhile, TCLV4 is forecast to form in the northeastern PMD area, then it is likely to shift direction to southern Japan.
PAGASA assesses the possibility of all 3 TCLV regions developing into tropical cyclones at a low to medium level.
If new systems form and enter PAR, Queenie and Rosal will be the next two names on the Philippine hurricane naming list.
Tropical depression Pilandok has strengthened into a storm
Depression Pilandok has strengthened into a tropical storm on the morning of September 1st and is currently in PAR.
According to the bulletin at 11:00 AM on September 1st, Pilandok has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h, gusts of 80 km/h, with the storm's center about 1,060km east of the northernmost point of Luzon Island.
PAGASA forecasts Pilandok will move slowly in a northwest to northwest direction, then leave PAR on the evening of September 2 or early morning of September 3 and head south of Japan.
This agency assessed that the possibility of Pilandok landing or directly affecting the Philippines is currently low.
