The latest typhoon information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that it is expected that 2 to 3 typhoons will form or enter the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) in July.
PAGASA expert Obed Badrina emphasized: "July is often noted as one of the months with the highest number of storms of the year. Typically, there are an average of three tropical storms forming or making landfall in the Philippines in July.
Experts from the Philippine weather agency note that July typhoons typically pass through some areas of Luzon or circle back towards the northeast of the country.
PAGASA said that the July typhoon near the Philippines usually has 3 main directions of movement, which are likely to make landfall from the central to northern part of Luzon Island, enter the East Sea and head towards Vietnam.
In the July 1 bulletin, Badrina forecasters also added that the low pressure area being monitored inside the PAR forecast area could follow a similar path to normal tropical storms. "This system could pass through Luzon or it could loops back because it is close to the eastern part of the island," he added.
The low pressure is currently located in the PAR forecast area, 650 km east of Infanta, Quezon, Philippines. This low pressure near the East Sea is currently assessed to have the potential to develop into a moderate tropical depression.
On July 1, most of the Philippines recorded showers due to low pressure and southwest monsoon. The low pressure is forecast to continue to cause scattered rain and thunderstorms in the Bicol region and the provinces of Isabela, Quirino, Aurora and Quezon in the Philippines.
Previously, PAGASA assessed that the Philippines may see 11 to 19 tropical storms from July to December 2025. Accordingly, PAGASA forecasts that there will be 2-3 typhoons near the Philippines in July, 2-3 typhoons in August, 2-4 typhoons in September, 2-4 typhoons in October, 2-3 typhoons in November and 1-2 typhoons forming near the Philippines in December.
An average of 19 to 20 typhoons are expected to form within the Philippine forecast area each year, with about eight to nine making landfall.
In the first half of the year, the Philippines has only had one system named for the 2025 typhoon season - Tropical Depression Auring, which will last for 6 hours (from 8:00 p.m. on June 12 to 2:00 a.m. on June 13.) before weakening into a low pressure area outside the PAR. Auring does not affect any part of the Philippines.
The late formation of the typhoon near the Philippines is considered unusual. The most recent storm season with the first tropical depression/storm system named in June was in 2016, with tropical depression mi. In most recent years, the first named storm has typically appeared in January.
