Domestic coffee prices
Opening the trading session in early December, the domestic coffee market recorded not very positive developments when red covered most key growing areas.
Specifically, the current average price has decreased to 111,000 VND/kg, down about 1,300 VND/kg compared to the previous trading session.
In the coffee "capital" of Dak Lak, the listed purchase price is 111,000 VND/kg, down 1,300 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong province, the price of green coffee beans continues to remain at the lowest level in the Central Highlands. This locality is currently trading around 110,500 VND/kg, down 800 VND compared to yesterday.
Meanwhile, in Gia Lai, the recorded decrease was 1,200 VND/kg, bringing the selling price to 110,700 VND/kg.
Dak Nong province (old) is currently the locality with the highest purchasing price in the region, reaching 111,200 VND/kg. However, compared to the previous session, the price here has also "evaporated" by 1,300 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
In the world market, at the end of the most recent trading session, coffee prices on the two exchanges London and New York are currently in a sideways state, without any new fluctuations due to the influence of the trading time of the beginning of the week and the previous weekend holiday.
For Robusta coffee prices on the London Stock Exchange, the January 2026 delivery period is anchored at 4,565 USD/ton. The following delivery terms such as March 2026 and May 2026 were held at 4,413 USD/ton and 4,335 USD/ton, respectively. Although there was no change in the closing price of the session (0.00%), the trading range in the previous session showed a tug-of-war, with the highest level reaching 4,605 USD/ton and the lowest being 4,517 USD/ton.
Similarly, on the New York exchange, Arabica coffee futures for December 2025 delivery closed at 413.00 cents/lb, unchanged from the previous session. Longer terms such as March 2026 and May 2026 stood at 381.20 cents/lb and 364.00 cents/lb, respectively. The temporary "calm" international market is considered a necessary breakwater before investors react to new export data from Vietnam - the world's largest supplier of Robusta.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The coffee market is facing mixed information flows, creating a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
From a positive perspective supporting prices, weather factors are the focus. Heavy rains in Vietnam have slowed down the market launch, combined with a sharp decrease in standard inventories on the ICE exchange due to the impact of previous US tariff policies, creating a solid foundation for price support in the short term. Although President Trump signed a last-minute tax exemption for Brazilian food, disruptions in the supply chain and the cancellation of contracts by US buyers have tightened local supply.
However, the price increase is facing major barriers from the long-term supply outlook. StoneX has just given a pessimistic forecast to the bulls when it assessed that Brazil's output in the 2026/27 crop could reach 70.7 million bags, up 29% over the same period.
At the same time, the Vietnam Statistics Office also reported that coffee exports in the first 10 months of 2025 increased by 13.4%, and the Vietnam Coffee - Cocoa Association (Vicofa) forecasts that the new crop output will increase by about 10% if the weather is favorable.
It is generally agreed that this week, world coffee prices will likely continue to fluctuate strongly according to weather news in the coffee belt. Meanwhile, domestic prices may continue to be under pressure to adjust or remain flat due to abundant new crop supply, making it difficult to break out strongly immediately even if world prices recover.
