Low pressure potential to strengthen into storm No. 7 Gabrielle

Thanh Hà |

The potential low pressure area of storm Gabrielle appeared on September 4, days before the peak of the season.

The latest storm and low pressure information from the US National Hurricane Center said that the center has officially named the new low pressure as Invest 91-L since the morning of September 4.

The latest Atlantic depression Invest 91-L is several hundred kilometers west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

This low pressure is often accompanied by showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable for the system with the potential to strengthen into Hurricane Gabrielle to continue to develop further.

Forecasters from the US National Hurricane Center said that low pressure Invest 91-L is expected to move west to west-northwest, at a speed of 8 to 16 km/h across the eastern and central Atlantic tropics throughout the week.

The newly emerged low pressure is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend or early next week. However, it is too early to assess what impacts the system could have on land.

According to forecast models, the probability of the low pressure strengthening into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours is 60%, in the next 7 days is 90%.

When it strengthens into a tropical depression, determining the potential path of this system will be easier.

Global forecast models have yet to reach consensus on the potential path of the newly formed system, with the US GFS system predicting that potential storm Gabrielle will move north, near the Antilles, while Europe's forecast model points straight to the Leeward Islands, and Google's DeepMind artificial intelligence model - which quite well predicts the path of Typhoon Erin - will take the path of potential storm Gabrielle to the Windward Islands.

The new low pressure formed two weeks after Erin dissipated. The recent period is considered a quiet temporary period of the Atlantic hurricane season, in preparation for a strong explosive period, which may begin when Invest 91-L appears.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. The development of the Atlantic hurricane season over the past two weeks has put the hurricane season index closer to average. There have been six named storms, while the average of the season so far has been seven. The only hurricane of the season has yet to appear - Hurricane Erin. However, usually, by early September, the storm season has recorded up to 3 typhoons.

Thanh Hà
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