The latest storm information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on the afternoon of November 5 said that the tropical depression is outside the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR), likely to develop into a super typhoon, expected to make landfall in Cagayan Valley or Aurora, Philippines on November 10.
According to the bulletin, the tropical depression is about 1,835 km east of northeast Mindanao, with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h and gusts of 70 km/h.
The latest tropical depression is moving west at a speed of 10 km/h, expected to turn northwest on November 6 and will continue in this direction throughout the forecast period.
PAGASA forecasters said the tropical depression could enter PAR on the night of November 7 or the morning of November 8 and would be named Uwan in the Philippines.
PAGASA weather expert Benison Estareja said: "After that, this system will move west-northwest, parallel to the Bicol region. By November 8, the system will move west-northwest toward northern or central Luzon." The storm could make landfall in Cagayan Valley or Aurora, he added.
Philippine typhoon forecasters warn that the tropical depression could quickly strengthen into a typhoon on November 7 and reach super typhoon level on November 8.
"The weather could get worse on Sunday (November 9). Life-threatening storm conditions are possible in Northern Luzon and part of Central Luzon on Monday (10 November) and Tuesday (11 November)," PAGASA's bulletin stated.
PAGASA's storm forecast on November 5 stated that after storm No. 13 Kalmaegi (known as Tino in the Philippines) entered the East Sea, heading towards Vietnam, during the week from November 5 to November 11, the new storm Uwan (international name Fung-wong) following storm No. 13 will increase in intensity when entering the PAR. The storm will make landfall in northern and central Luzon and make landfall during the forecast period.
Typhoon Fung-wong is expected to leave the Philippines and enter the South China Sea during the week of November 12 to 18, becoming the 14th typhoon in the South China Sea. Storm No. 14 is expected to enter the East Sea, near Vietnam.
Immediately after Typhoon No. 14 Fung-wong, a new low pressure is forecast by PAGASA to form at the eastern boundary of the TCAD forecast area. The low pressure is expected to enter the PAR but is unlikely to strengthen into a tropical storm. The system is also forecast to circle towards Taiwan (China) and Japan but not into the East Sea.
